Primaries in Hawaii, Washington, and Wisconsin
February 19th is the date of primaries in:
- Hawaii (Democrat)
- Washington (GOP)
- Wisconsin
Technorati Tags: 2008, campaign, Democrat, GOP
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Does Virginia Have the Blues?
Is Virginia going blue? That appears to be the contention of this piece from the Hotline. While I certainly agree with their last premise (turnout for the Dem vs. GOP primaries being about 2:1), their back-up evidence is a bit weak.
Incumbent Gov. Tim Kain beat an empty suit in 2005. I apologize for hurting the feeling of the Kilgore fans out there, but it’s the truth. We need candidates with ideas, not guys who can hire consultants and read polls.
Jim Webb was an aberration, pure and simple. George Allen was a great candidate who forgot one of the cardinal rules of politics - don’t worry about the next election (President in 2008) until you’ve won the one in front of you. It also didn’t hurt Webb that nearly every decent-sized media outlet in the Commonwealth plus the DC market was out to get George.
As for 2007, I’d give Hotline a coin toss on that one. There are definitely some districts that have purpled up since re-districting, but I also blame some candidates becoming a little too full of themselves.
There is no question that 2008 primary turnout should be of concern. Assuming Obama makes it through the convention, that turnout definitely could be there in November (and then some). Of course, predicting general election turnout based on open primary results is notoriously dangerous.
There is also the issue of whether the bloom will stay on Obama through November.
cross posted at the Campaign Edge
Technorati Tags: 2008, Virginia, politics, Virginia politics, Democrat, GOP, campaignSphere: Related Content
Hotline’s Take on MD-1 Primary
The Hotline provides an objective, if brief, view of the MD-1 GOP primary.
cross posted at the Campaign Edge
Technorati Tags: 2008, Maryland, politics, Maryland politics, GOP, conservatism, Andy Harris, Wayne Gilchrest, E J PipkinSphere: Related Content
Primaries in Maryland, Virginia and D.C.
February 12th is the date for primaries in Maryland, Virginia and the District. Note that the Virginia primary is an open primary.
Technorati Tags: 2008, Democrat, GOP, campaign
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Maine Democrat Caucuses Today
February 10th is the date for the Maine Democrat caucuses.
Technorati Tags: 2008, Democrat, campaign
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Primaries in Louisiana, Kansas - Caucus in Washington
February 9th is the date for the Louisiana primary, the Kansas GOP primary and the Washington Democrat caucus.
Sphere: Related ContentWill the Dobson Endorsement Affect Andy Harris’ Campaign?
You must first answer this question. Is the Harris campaign devoting adequate resources to getting the word out about Dr. Dobson’s endorsement to the folks that will be most receptive? If the answer is yes, this could be the one that puts Andy over the top.
Dr. James Dobson is an icon in the evangelical community. His honesty and devotion are beyond reproach. Sure, I haven’t agreed with Dr. Dobson on all of his political moves, but I’ve always been impressed by his ministry.
The affect of Dr. Dobson’s endorsement is not in his ability to convert people into becoming Harris supporters. He will, however, motivate many people who might not otherwise go to the polls to do so. If those people go to the polls, they’ll vote for Harris.
Andy Harris is the ONLY choice for socially conservative voters. While in my opinion there is no question that Harris is the fiscal conservative’s choice, others may differ. There has been a great deal of confusing, and misleading, advertisement from all three candidates as to each candidate’s stance on core fiscal issues as well on the hot button issue of immigration.
IF Super Tuesday is fairly decisive in the GOP Presidential race far fewer casual voters will be motivated to go to the polls on February 12th. Some may argue that if McCain locks up the nomination many social conservatives will stay home. The endorsements of people like Dobson and Phyllis Schlafly will motivate those folks to go to the polls while the casual, non-social conservative will stay home.
cross posted at Salisbury News, Red Maryland, and Delmarva Dealings
Technorati Tags: Maryland, politics, Maryland politics, conservatism, James Dobson, Phyllis Schlafly, Andy Harris
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Today is Super Tuesday
February 5th is Super Tuesday. Primaries are held in the following states:
- Alabama
- Alaska
- Arizona
- Arkansas
- California
- Connecticut
- Delaware
- Georgia
- Idaho (Democrat)
- Illinois
- Kansas (Democrat)
- Massachusetts
- Minnesota
- Missouri
- New Jersey
- New Mexico (Democrat)
- New York
- Oklahoma
- Tennessee
- Utah
Caucuses will be held in:
- Colorado
- North Dakota
Technorati Tags: 2008, GOP, Democrat, campaign, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, John Edwards, John McCain, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani, Ron Paul, Fred Thompson
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Today is Super Tuesday
February 5th is Super Tuesday. Primaries are held in the following states:
- Alabama
- Alaska
- Arizona
- Arkansas
- California
- Connecticut
- Delaware
- Georgia
- Idaho (Democrat)
- Illinois
- Kansas (Democrat)
- Massachusetts
- Minnesota
- Missouri
- New Jersey
- New Mexico (Democrat)
- New York
- Oklahoma
- Tennessee
- Utah
Caucuses will be held in:
- Colorado
- North Dakota
Technorati Tags: 2008, GOP, Democrat, campaign, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, John Edwards, John McCain, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani, Ron Paul, Fred Thompson
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McCain, Clinton Win Florida Primaries
Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) pulled out a five point victory over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney in Tuesday’s Florida GOP primary. While there is still no clear victor for the GOP nomination, this win was particularly important victory for McCain. After McCains victory in the South Carolina primary, pundits repeatedly made the point that McCain had yet to win a closed GOP primary. The New Hampshire and South Carolina primaries are open primaries allowing any registered voter to cast a ballot. Closed primaries, like Florida’s, only allow registered Republicans to vote.
|
Florida GOP Primary Results |
|
| John McCain |
36% |
| Mitt Romney |
31% |
| Rudy Giuliani |
15% |
| Mike Huckabee |
13% |
| Ron Paul |
3% |
Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-NY) managed to beat Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) with 50% of the Democrat vote compared to Obama’s 33%, with 14% going to former Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina. This should not be viewed as a particular victory for Clinton. Given that the DNC forced candidates to pledge not to campaign in Florida after Clinton had already built an organization in the state gave her a huge advantage. Despite this huge advantage, Obama still pulled within 17 points, far less than his victory over Clinton in South Carolina.
cross posted at Delmarva Dealings
Technorati Tags: 2008, GOP, Democrat, primary, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Ron Paul, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, John Edwards, politics, Florida, Florida politics
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